Mobility Sweden published its first report in 2026, reporting a weak market in 2025 and sharing its forecast for this year.
The 2025 Data
According to Mobility Sweden, light commercial vehicle (LCV) registrations declined by nearly 13% in 2025 to 33,449 units, mainly due to the economic downturn and the weak construction market negatively affecting demand for LCVs. In December 2025, LCV registrations declined by 4%, with 3,485 units.
Heavy truck registrations also showed weak performance, declining by 4% in 2025, with 5,023 registrations. Incentives for the purchase of new electric trucks have contributed to the slight increase in electric truck registrations (+6.5%), but are counteracted by reduced fossil fuel taxes and the overall economic situation. A total of 448 units were registered in December 2025, representing a 14% increase.
Mattias Bergman, CEO of Mobility Sweden, explained that more policy measures are necessary to ensure economic viability and increase demand for fossil-free transport. Proposals include reduced taxation on electricity and a green transport tax deduction for transport buyers.
The bus market had a record year with 1,950 new registrations, an increase of 149%. This is the highest level in 50 years and is largely explained by significant delivery disruptions in 2024 that postponed deliveries into 2025, particularly when it comes to electric buses, which reached 46% in 2025. In December 2025, bus registrations declined by 27%, with 101 new units registered.
The 2026 Forecast
While not issuing a forecast for the heavy truck market, the Mobility Sweden forecast for LCVs 2026 is 36,000 registrations, an increase of 8% compared with 2025. The share of electric LCVs is expected to continue increasing slightly during 2026, reaching 26%.
“For LCVs, we see a modest increase in 2026 driven by the government’s expansionary fiscal policy, lower interest rates and an improved economic outlook. To support this development, targeted measures are necessary, including support for home charging in multi-dwelling buildings, an adjusted electric vehicle subsidy and reduced electricity tax for charging, says Mattias Bergman of Mobility Sweden.
